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UK Insights

Labour and Conservatives reach stalemate

Michelle Harrison

CEO Kantar Public

Politics 06.05.2015 / 14:10

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6th May voting intention poll from Kantar's TNS

A poll by Kantar's TNS shows that voter intention figures are as follows: LAB 32% (-1), CON 33% (-1), LIB DEM 8% (+1), UKIP 14% (-1), GREEN 6% (+1), OTHER 6% (+1).

Using data from the last seven TNS polls, voter turnout is predicted to be 69% across Great Britain, with Scotland somewhat above the average at 71%. TNS data suggests a turnout of only 56% among 18-34 year olds, much lower than the 82% predicted for those aged 65+.

With polling day around the corner the polls suggest that Labour and the Conservatives have reached stalemate. Despite several campaigns to increase the registration rate of younger people, it seems likely that many won't vote - even when the election is on a knife edge. Attention is turning to what happens if no party secures an overall majority - and whether the party with the most seats or the biggest share of the vote can claim the greatest legitimacy in forming the next government. We are witnessing a Britain in political flux and after a lackluster election campaign the real drama starts on Friday 8th May.

Source : Kantar TNS

Editor's Notes

TNS Omnibus interviewed a representative sample of 1,185 adults in Great Britain between the 30th April and 4th May 2015. All interviews were conducted as online self-completion.

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